System Status
Data Coverage
2247
Historical Events
Market Reactions
96,621
Event-Asset Pairs
Asset Universe
43
Assets
Historical Direction Accuracy
59.1%
Out-of-Sample Validation
Data Quality
92.1%
Valid Historical Reactions
Current Market State
Risk Regime:
Elevated Caution
Credit:
Healthy
Bonds:
Rate Uncertainty
AI / Tech:
Strong Momentum
Energy:
Supply Focused
Inflation:
Moderating
Phase 5.1 Operational Metrics
Assessments Submitted
0
Counterfactual YES Rate
—
Active Analysts
—
Validation Progress
Day 2 / 90
Program Status
Phase:
PHASE 5.1 LIVE VALIDATION
Started:
2026-05-31
Current Day:
2 / 90
Next Milestone:
Day 30 Review (2026-06-30)
Days Remaining:
88 days
Quick Start
System Health
API Status
Healthy
Logging Status
Active
Data Status
Loaded
Weekly Metrics
Ready
About This System
Purpose: Measure whether Market Intelligence Stack changes analyst decision-making.
Measurement: Counterfactual rate — % of events where the system changed your conclusion.
Duration: 90-day operational validation (2026-05-31 to 2026-08-29).
Success Criteria: ≥25% counterfactual rate (system changes thinking on 1 of 4 events).
Mode: Analyst-assistive only (no predictions, no buy/sell recommendations).
Key Limitations
- System does not predict market direction
- System does not recommend trades
- System provides historical context for decision support only
- Analyst judgment is final and authoritative
- Confidence cap at 0.75 (system discipline)