Was aus 1000 € geworden wäre
Eine Rückrechnung auf gemessenen Kursen — keine Prognose.
Sie zeigt, wie sich ein Depot entwickelt hätte, das den Thesen gefolgt wäre.
Daraus folgt nichts über die Zukunft. Gebühren, Spreads, Steuern und
Währungseffekte zwischen Euro und Dollar sind nicht gerechnet; die Kurve ist
damit optimistischer als die Wirklichkeit.
Endstand
1207 €
+20.7 % aus 1000 €
S&P 500 (SPY) gehalten
1043 €
+4.3 %
DAX gehalten
1016 €
+1.6 %
Trades
64
39 im Plus (60.9 %)
Depot
S&P 500 (SPY)
DAX
Wie gerechnet wird
- Nur Kauf. Thesen auf fallende Kurse bleiben außen vor — Leerverkäufe beschreiben Geschäfte, die hier niemand tätigen würde.
- Eine Position je Alert, das Symbol mit dem höchsten Ausreißer-Faktor. 60 Trades kamen so zustande, 4 mangels Faktor über die erste Nennung.
- Ein Depot, der Reihe nach. Der Erlös geht komplett in den nächsten Trade. Solange eine Position läuft, wird nicht gekauft — deshalb blieben 547 Alerts unberücksichtigt. Das beschreibt ein führbares Depot, nutzt aber nur einen Bruchteil der Signale; die Kurve misst dadurch auch den Zufall der Reihenfolge.
- Kurse aus dem Archiv, um Ausschüttungen bereinigt, Stand der Aufzeichnung. Ein Neuabruf bei yfinance lieferte andere Zahlen und verschöbe die Kurve rückwirkend.
Die einzelnen Trades 2026-06-25 bis 2026-09-29
| Einstieg | Symbol | Faktor | Kurs ein | Ausstieg | Kurs aus | Rendite | Kapital | Alert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | XLC | 4.66 | 105.23 | 2026-06-26 | 105.83 | +0.57 % | 1006 € | Tech stocks surge as Micron earnings ease AI… |
| 2026-06-26 | DBC | 8.97 | 26.57 | 2026-06-29 | 26.56 | -0.04 % | 1005 € | Sherritt Warns of Going-Concern Risk After T… |
| 2026-06-29 | TLT | — | 86.45 | 2026-06-30 | 85.43 | -1.18 % | 993 € | US, Iran To Halt Attacks; Korea Looks to Cem… |
| 2026-06-30 | XLF | 11.48 | 53.42 | 2026-07-01 | 54.59 | +2.18 % | 1015 € | Digital Realty (DLR) Launches ServiceFabric … |
| 2026-07-01 | XLF | 11.48 | 54.59 | 2026-07-02 | 55.42 | +1.53 % | 1031 € | Overpricing Fed Rate Hikes Amid Potential Cu… |
| 2026-07-02 | XLF | 11.48 | 55.42 | 2026-07-06 | 55.94 | +0.93 % | 1040 € | Bonds Rally as Weak Jobs Report Dims Fed Rat… |
| 2026-07-06 | XLF | 11.48 | 55.94 | 2026-07-07 | 55.85 | -0.16 % | 1039 € | Samsung appliance workers rally over chip di… |
| 2026-07-07 | XLF | 11.48 | 55.85 | 2026-07-08 | 54.78 | -1.93 % | 1019 € | Traders Hedge for Less Hawkish Fed as Hikes … |
| 2026-07-08 | DBC | 8.97 | 27.8 | 2026-07-09 | 27.58 | -0.79 % | 1011 € | Nvidia Is World’s Most Valuable Company and … |
| 2026-07-09 | AAPL | 5.09 | 315.95 | 2026-07-10 | 315.05 | -0.28 % | 1008 € | Bank of Korea Sees Need to Hike Rate on High… |
| 2026-07-10 | IWM | 4.54 | 295.22 | 2026-07-13 | 292.72 | -0.85 % | 999 € | MiniMax Joins China AI Fundraising Rush With… |
| 2026-07-13 | DBC | 8.97 | 28.33 | 2026-07-14 | 28.63 | +1.06 % | 1010 € | TSMC Sales Surge 36% in Fresh Sign of AI Spe… |
| 2026-07-14 | AAPL | 5.09 | 314.59 | 2026-07-15 | 327.22 | +4.01 % | 1050 € | Warsh Vows to Deliver Price Stability, Fed ‘… |
| 2026-07-15 | AAPL | 5.09 | 327.22 | 2026-07-16 | 332.97 | +1.76 % | 1069 € | Emerging Currencies Gain as Traders Cut Back… |
| 2026-07-16 | DBC | 8.97 | 28.46 | 2026-07-17 | 28.98 | +1.83 % | 1088 € | Marvell Drops 8% as AI Capex Slowdown Fears … |
| 2026-07-17 | DBC | 8.97 | 28.98 | 2026-07-20 | 29.14 | +0.55 % | 1094 € | Chips Stocks Tumble Into Bear Market as 105%… |
| 2026-07-20 | AAPL | 5.09 | 326.31 | 2026-07-21 | 327.46 | +0.35 % | 1098 € | New Zealand Inflation Accelerates to 4.1% as… |
| 2026-07-21 | DBC | 8.97 | 29.57 | 2026-07-22 | 29.86 | +0.98 % | 1109 € | Asian Stocks Set for Gains as Chipmakers Reb… |
| 2026-07-22 | AAPL | 5.09 | 325.61 | 2026-07-23 | 321.38 | -1.30 % | 1095 € | Why the ECB Will Probably Hold Rates Steady … |
| 2026-07-23 | AAPL | 5.09 | 321.38 | 2026-07-24 | 332.73 | +3.53 % | 1133 € | Yen’s Slump Extends Beyond Dollar and Stokes… |
| 2026-07-24 | XLE | 4.21 | 59.27 | 2026-07-27 | 58.02 | -2.11 % | 1109 € | Korean Stocks Sink as Chipmakers Drop on Mid… |
| 2026-07-27 | XLF | 11.48 | 56.68 | 2026-07-28 | 57.4 | +1.27 % | 1123 € | Samsung, Broadcom sign MOU to boost AI memor… |
| 2026-07-28 | XLF | 11.48 | 57.4 | 2026-07-29 | 56.48 | -1.60 % | 1105 € | US Tech Stocks Poised to Slide as Global Chi… |
| 2026-07-29 | AAPL | 5.09 | 337.9 | 2026-07-30 | 333.14 | -1.41 % | 1090 € | Fed Should've Raised Rates Amid 'Hot' Inflat… |
| 2026-07-30 | DIA | 16.84 | 519.88 | 2026-07-31 | 522.68 | +0.54 % | 1096 € | Yuan Rises to Highest Since Early 2023 as Do… |
| 2026-07-31 | AAPL | 5.09 | 308.64 | 2026-08-03 | 303.16 | -1.78 % | 1076 € | BlackRock’s ‘Widow Maker’ Treasury ETF Slide… |
| 2026-08-03 | XLF | 11.48 | 57.18 | 2026-08-04 | 57.68 | +0.87 % | 1086 € | Korean Stocks Drop as Chipmakers Reverse Fri… |
| 2026-08-04 | AAPL | 5.09 | 309.11 | 2026-08-05 | 310.73 | +0.52 % | 1091 € | Philadelphia Fed president says she's keepin… |
| 2026-08-05 | AAPL | 5.09 | 310.73 | 2026-08-06 | 312.14 | +0.45 % | 1096 € | Kansas City Fed's Schmid favors higher rates… |
| 2026-08-06 | DBC | 8.97 | 28.86 | 2026-08-07 | 28.91 | +0.17 % | 1098 € | TSMC (TSM) Raised Its 2026 Outlook as AI Dem… |
| 2026-08-07 | AAPL | 5.09 | 313.06 | 2026-08-10 | 308.26 | -1.53 % | 1081 € | NY Fed finds little change in inflation expe… |
| 2026-08-10 | AAPL | 5.09 | 308.26 | 2026-08-11 | 304.91 | -1.09 % | 1070 € | Fed’s Hammack Says ‘Some Number’ of Rate Hik… |
| 2026-08-11 | USO | 2.54 | 127.61 | 2026-08-12 | 127.3 | -0.24 % | 1067 € | Unpriced Food Inflation Threatens Volatile B… |
| 2026-08-12 | AAPL | 5.09 | 302.25 | 2026-08-13 | 305.26 | +1.00 % | 1078 € | Gold Steadies After Tame US Inflation Data E… |
| 2026-08-13 | AAPL | 5.09 | 305.26 | 2026-08-14 | 305.93 | +0.22 % | 1080 € | US Core Inflation Comes in Soft, Anthropic i… |
| 2026-08-14 | AAPL | 5.09 | 305.93 | 2026-08-17 | 305.59 | -0.11 % | 1079 € | EM Assets Buoyed by Easing US Rate Worries, … |
| 2026-08-17 | XLF | 11.48 | 57.38 | 2026-08-18 | 57.64 | +0.45 % | 1084 € | Dollar Extends Slide as Traders Scale Back F… |
| 2026-08-18 | XLF | 11.48 | 57.64 | 2026-08-19 | 57.28 | -0.62 % | 1077 € | The bond market is daring the Fed to hike: C… |
| 2026-08-19 | AAPL | 5.09 | 316.83 | 2026-08-20 | 311.3 | -1.75 % | 1058 € | Bonds Traders Look to Hedge Risk of Fed Rate… |
| 2026-08-20 | XLF | 11.48 | 56.75 | 2026-08-21 | 57.28 | +0.93 % | 1068 € | Fed’s Warsh Needs to Launch Operation Twist,… |
| 2026-08-21 | XLF | 11.48 | 57.28 | 2026-08-24 | 58.01 | +1.29 % | 1082 € | China Chipmaker YMTC Seeks to Raise $4.9 Bil… |
| 2026-08-24 | XLF | 11.48 | 58.01 | 2026-08-25 | 58.1 | +0.15 % | 1083 € | Nvidia opens talks with Rebellions on potent… |
| 2026-08-25 | AAPL | 5.09 | 309.9 | 2026-08-26 | 313.45 | +1.15 % | 1096 € | Treasuries Gain as Oil Drop Eases Pressure o… |
| 2026-08-26 | DBC | 8.97 | 30.5 | 2026-08-27 | 30.86 | +1.18 % | 1109 € | Nvidia Earnings Give Investors a Barometer f… |
| 2026-08-27 | CVX | 3.51 | 199.77 | 2026-08-28 | 201.86 | +1.05 % | 1120 € | Fed-Treasury ‘Regime Change’ May Fuel Bond R… |
| 2026-08-28 | CVX | 3.51 | 201.86 | 2026-08-31 | 206.14 | +2.12 % | 1144 € | Gold Holds Near $4,600 as Investors Focus on… |
| 2026-08-31 | XLC | 4.66 | 111.09 | 2026-09-01 | 110.52 | -0.52 % | 1138 € | Walmart, e.l.f. Beauty use tariff refunds to… |
| 2026-09-01 | GLD | — | 396.75 | 2026-09-02 | 402.78 | +1.52 % | 1155 € | Bond Slide Grips Emerging Markets as Fed Ris… |
| 2026-09-02 | XLI | 8.42 | 172.32 | 2026-09-03 | 174.09 | +1.03 % | 1167 € | Wheat Wavers as Traders Mull Impact of Russi… |
| 2026-09-03 | USO | 2.54 | 142.09 | 2026-09-04 | 141.96 | -0.09 % | 1166 € | Asia Stocks to Gain as Fed Bets Cool, Dollar… |
| 2026-09-04 | DBC | 8.97 | 31.9 | 2026-09-08 | 32.4 | +1.57 % | 1184 € | Trump Issues Ultimatum to Fed: Cut Rates or … |
| 2026-09-08 | XLI | 8.42 | 173.95 | 2026-09-09 | 171.33 | -1.51 % | 1167 € | Canada Imposes Tariffs Up to 50% on the US… |
| 2026-09-09 | DE | 8.37 | 677.21 | 2026-09-10 | 677.94 | +0.11 % | 1168 € | JPMorgan Sees Yen Rally, Lower Yields Speedi… |
| 2026-09-10 | XLF | 11.48 | 56.67 | 2026-09-11 | 57.05 | +0.67 % | 1176 € | India’s NPCI, HDFC tie up to launch sovereig… |
| 2026-09-11 | DE | 8.37 | 675.74 | 2026-09-14 | 681.46 | +0.85 % | 1186 € | Lam Research Sees Sold-Out Chip Demand, Targ… |
| 2026-09-14 | USO | 2.54 | 156.66 | 2026-09-15 | 161.86 | +3.32 % | 1225 € | Stocks Fall on AI Jitters and Rising Oil Pri… |
| 2026-09-15 | ^GDAXI | 8.42 | 25402.28 | 2026-09-16 | 25537.75 | +0.53 % | 1231 € | Former KFC Global CEO Sabir Sami Joins Chipo… |
| 2026-09-17 | GLD | — | 398.36 | 2026-09-18 | 401.17 | +0.71 % | 1240 € | Poland Warns That Russia Plans to Strike Ukr… |
| 2026-09-21 | ^GDAXI | 8.42 | 25575.01 | 2026-09-22 | 25578.85 | +0.02 % | 1240 € | Chip Stocks Rise As Four New Names Join SOX … |
| 2026-09-22 | XLK | 3.07 | 196.27 | 2026-09-23 | 195.34 | -0.47 % | 1234 € | US-China continue talks in New York, Meta's … |
| 2026-09-23 | XLK | 3.07 | 195.34 | 2026-09-24 | 194.71 | -0.32 % | 1231 € | CanSemi Tech Joins China Chip IPO Wave With … |
| 2026-09-24 | TLT | — | 79.42 | 2026-09-25 | 79.32 | -0.13 % | 1229 € | Iran Flights to UAE Halted as US Sanctions B… |
| 2026-09-25 | XLE | 4.21 | 62.04 | 2026-09-28 | 62.1 | +0.10 % | 1230 € | ArcelorMittal Unable to Restart Ukraine Oper… |
| 2026-09-28 | MBG.DE | 4.13 | 41.43 | 2026-09-29 | 40.66 | -1.85 % | 1207 € | Nvidia Boosts Share Buyback Authorization by… |
Bester Trade: AAPL +4.01 % am 2026-07-14 · schlechtester: XLE -2.11 % am 2026-07-24. Dieselben Daten als JSON: /api/depot.